Virginia
W-L: (21-13) PR = 96.1285Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 A Morgan State MEAC ( 5-25, 90.9) 86-36 1109 A Bucknell PAT (10-20, 92.4) 80-35 1113 H UMBC AE (15-15, 93.5) 56-61 1116 A Radford BSO (23-13, 93.5) 77-46 1120 A Longwood BSO (20- 9, 93.5) 94-47 1124 A Nowestern St SL (17-14, 93.2) 69-48 1125 H Nebraska B10 (18-13, 96.3) 82-91 1130 A MD-Ea Shore MEAC (20-15, 93.4) 92-59 1203 H Vanderbilt SEC V (28- 5, 98.1) 68-81 1207 A Boston Col ACC ( 5-26, 92.9) 81-55 1210 A Howard MEAC (26- 8, 94.6) 76-50 1220 A Winthrop BSO (13-18, 92.2) 88-53 1229 A SMU ACC ( 9-21, 93.8) 76-52 101 A Clemson ACC (21-12, 96.1) 73-63 104 A Florida St ACC (11-20, 94.8) 91-** 108 A Georgia Tech ACC (14-19, 95.2) 61-59 111 H Syracuse ACC (22-10, 96.5) 60-79 115 H Duke ACC (27- 9, 97.6) 58-65 122 A Pittsburgh ACC ( 7-22, 93.0) 84-46 124 H NC State ACC (21-11, 96.6) 76-78 129 A Wake Forest ACC (14-18, 94.2) **-54 201 H Va Tech ACC (23-10, 96.3) 64-76 205 A Miami (Fl) ACC (18-15, 95.6) 67-56 208 A Notre Dame ACC (25-11, 97.1) 81-70 212 H California ACC (22-14, 95.9) 58-64 215 A Stanford ACC (20-14, 95.7) 75-69 222 A Louisville ACC (29- 8, 97.5) 74-72 226 H No Carolina ACC (28- 8, 97.4) 70-82 301 H Va Tech ACC (23-10, 96.3) 82-83 305 H Clemson ACC (21-12, 96.1) 50-63 319 A Arizona St B12 (24-11, 96.2) 57-55 321 A Georgia SEC (22-10, 96.8) 82-73 323 A Iowa B10 (27- 7, 98.0) 83-** 328 H TCU B12 (33- 5, 97.6) 69-79
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 A Morgan State 86-36 50 5 0.00
1109 A Bucknell 80-35 45 4 0.00
1113 H UMBC 56-61 -5 3 -- -4.00
1116 A Radford 77-46 31 3 0.00
1120 A Longwood 94-47 47 3 0.00
1124 A Nowestern St 69-48 21 3 0.00
1125 H Nebraska 82-91 -9 0 -1.79
1130 A MD-Ea Shore 92-59 33 3 0.00
1203 H Vanderbilt 68-81 -13 -2 -0.09
1207 A Boston Col 81-55 26 3 0.00
1210 A Howard 76-50 26 1 0.52
1220 A Winthrop 88-53 35 4 0.00
1229 A SMU 76-52 24 2 0.00
101 A Clemson 73-63 10 0 1.96
104 A Florida St 91-** -13 1 - -3.29
108 A Georgia Tech 61-59 2 1 1.05
111 H Syracuse 60-79 -19 0 -1.65
115 H Duke 58-65 -7 -1 -0.54
122 A Pittsburgh 84-46 38 3 0.00
124 H NC State 76-78 -2 0 -1.51
129 A Wake Forest **-54 55 2 0.12
201 H Va Tech 64-76 -12 0 -1.86
205 A Miami (Fl) 67-56 11 0 1.51
208 A Notre Dame 81-70 11 -1 + 2.98
212 H California 58-64 -6 0 - -2.23
215 A Stanford 75-69 6 0 1.61
222 A Louisville 74-72 2 -1 + 3.41
226 H No Carolina 70-82 -12 -1 -0.72
301 H Va Tech 82-83 -1 0 -0.86
305 H Clemson 50-63 -13 0 - -2.06
319 A Arizona St 57-55 2 0 + 2.07
321 A Georgia 82-73 9 -1 + 2.66
323 A Iowa 83-** 99 -2 + 3.85
328 H TCU 69-79 -10 -1 -0.52
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1113 H UMBC 56-61 -5 3 -- -4.00 104 A Florida St 91-** -13 1 - -3.29 212 H California 58-64 -6 0 - -2.23 305 H Clemson 50-63 -13 0 - -2.06 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 A Notre Dame 81-70 11 -1 + 2.98 222 A Louisville 74-72 2 -1 + 3.41 319 A Arizona St 57-55 2 0 + 2.07 321 A Georgia 82-73 9 -1 + 2.66 323 A Iowa 83-** 99 -2 + 3.85 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Morgan State ( 5-25, 90.9) 86-36 -9.02 1.94 0.01 0.89 3.47
3 A Bucknell (10-20, 92.4) 80-35 -7.49 3.47 0.01 0.89 6.21
3 H UMBC (15-15, 93.5) 56-61 -6.37 4.59 -0.01 0.89 -2.85
3 A Radford (23-13, 93.5) 77-46 -6.42 4.54 0.01 0.89 8.13
3 A Longwood (20- 9, 93.5) 94-47 -6.37 4.59 0.01 0.89 8.21
3 A Nowestern St (17-14, 93.2) 69-48 -6.66 4.30 0.01 0.89 7.70
3 H Nebraska (18-13, 96.3) 82-91 -3.55 7.41 -0.01 0.89 -1.59
3 A MD-Ea Shore (20-15, 93.4) 92-59 -6.54 4.42 0.01 0.89 7.92
3 H Vanderbilt (28- 5, 98.1) 68-81 -1.85 9.11 -0.01 0.89 -0.83
3 A Boston Col ( 5-26, 92.9) 81-55 -7.02 3.94 0.01 0.89 7.05
3 A Howard (26- 8, 94.6) 76-50 -5.27 5.69 0.01 0.89 10.18
3 A Winthrop (13-18, 92.2) 88-53 -7.69 3.27 0.01 0.89 5.85
3 A SMU ( 9-21, 93.8) 76-52 -6.14 4.82 0.01 0.89 8.63
3 A Clemson (21-12, 96.1) 73-63 -3.82 7.14 0.01 0.89 12.77
3 A Florida St (11-20, 94.8) 91-** -5.07 5.89 0.01 0.89 -2.26
3 A Georgia Tech (14-19, 95.2) 61-59 -4.73 6.23 0.01 0.89 11.13
3 H Syracuse (22-10, 96.5) 60-79 -3.41 7.55 -0.01 0.89 -1.53
3 H Duke (27- 9, 97.6) 58-65 -2.30 8.66 -0.01 0.89 -1.03
3 A Pittsburgh ( 7-22, 93.0) 84-46 -6.94 4.02 0.01 0.89 7.20
3 H NC State (21-11, 96.6) 76-78 -3.27 7.69 -0.01 0.89 -1.46
3 A Wake Forest (14-18, 94.2) **-54 -5.66 5.30 0.01 0.89 9.47
3 H Va Tech (23-10, 96.3) 64-76 -3.62 7.34 -0.01 0.89 -1.62
3 A Miami (Fl) (18-15, 95.6) 67-56 -4.27 6.69 0.01 0.89 11.95
3 A Notre Dame (25-11, 97.1) 81-70 -2.80 8.16 0.01 0.89 14.59
3 H California (22-14, 95.9) 58-64 -3.99 6.97 -0.01 0.89 -1.78
3 A Stanford (20-14, 95.7) 75-69 -4.17 6.79 0.01 0.89 12.14
3 A Louisville (29- 8, 97.5) 74-72 -2.37 8.59 0.01 0.89 15.35
3 H No Carolina (28- 8, 97.4) 70-82 -2.48 8.48 -0.01 0.89 -1.11
3 H Va Tech (23-10, 96.3) 82-83 -3.62 7.34 -0.01 0.89 -1.62
3 H Clemson (21-12, 96.1) 50-63 -3.82 7.14 -0.01 0.89 -1.71
3 A Arizona St (24-11, 96.2) 57-55 -3.71 7.25 0.01 0.89 12.96
3 A Georgia (22-10, 96.8) 82-73 -3.13 7.83 0.01 0.89 14.00
3 A Iowa (27- 7, 98.0) 83-** -1.94 9.03 0.01 0.89 16.13
3 H TCU (33- 5, 97.6) 69-79 -2.28 8.68 -0.01 0.89 -1.02
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190.63
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winning pts = 211.0533 losing points = -20.4233
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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